How can we measure crime?
In order to understand why people commit crime, we need first to find out who commits crime and what sorts of crimes are committed. Sociologists use three different ways to build up this picture of crime. Each method provides us with particular information, but also has a number of weaknesses, which need to be identified if our picture is to be accurate.
The three methods of collecting information are: • Official Statistics • Victim surveys • Self-Report Surveys
Official Statistics
These are drawn from the records kept by the police and other official agencies, and are published every six months by the Home Office. The official statistics are particularly useful in that they have been collected since 1857 and so provide us with an excellent historical overview of changing trends over time. They also give us a completely accurate view of the way that the criminal justice system processes offenders through arrests, trials, punishments and so on.
Official Statistics as Social Constructions
Official statistics cannot be taken simply at their face value. They only show crimes, which are reported to and recorded by the official agencies such as the police. When we dig a little deeper a lot of hidden issues are uncovered. Reporting Crimes Official statistics are based on the information, which the criminal justice agencies collect. But they cannot record crimes if they are not reported in the first place, and the simple fact is that a high proportion of ‘crimes’ are not reported to the police at all.
According to The British Crime Survey (1998), we know that individuals are less likely to report a ‘crime’ to the police if they regard it as:
• Too trivial to bother the police with.
• A private matter between friends and family, and will seek redress directly (get revenge themselves), or they wish no harm to come to the offender.
• Too embarrassing (male rape)
• The victim may not be in a position to give information (child suffering abuse)
• They fear reprisals On the other hand, people are more likely to report a crime if:
• They see some benefit to themselves (an insurance claim).
• They have faith in the police ability to achieve a positive result.
Recording of Crimes If people do report an offence to the police, you would think that these statistics at least would enter the official reports. Yet in any one year, approximately 40% of all ‘crimes’ reported to the police fail to appear in the official statistics.
The Role of the Police
Clearly the police are filtering the information supplied to them by the public, according to factors, which are important to them.
Factors Affecting Crime Rates: •
Seriousness They may regard the offence as too trivial or simply not a criminal matter.
• Social status More worryingly, they may view the social status of the person reporting the matter as not high enough to regard the issue as worth pursuing.
• Classifying crimes When a person makes a complaint, police officers must decide what category the offence is in. How they classify the offence will decide its seriousness. So, the police officers’ opinion determines the category and seriousness of crime (from assault, to aggravated assault for example.)
• Discretion Only about 10% of offences are actually uncovered by the police. However, the chances of being arrested for an offence increase markedly depending upon the ‘demeanour’ of the person being challenged by a police officer. Anderson et al (1994) show that youths who co-operate and are polite to police officers are less likely to be arrested than those regarded as disrespectful.
• Promotion and relationships at work Police officers, like everyone else, have career and promotion concerns. This involves trying to impress senior officers. However, they also need to get on with other colleagues, who do not like officers who are too ‘keen’, as this makes more work for everyone. Arrests reflect a balance between comradeship and a desire for promotion.
• The role of the courts
Official statistics of crimes committed also reflect the decisions and sentences of the courts. However, these statistics too are a reflection of social processes. Pleading Guilty British courts work on the assumption that many people will plead guilty and about 75% of all those charged do plead guilty. This is often the result of an informal and largely unspoken agreement, whereby the defence will try to get the charges with the lightest possible punishment put forward by the prosecution. The result is an overwhelming majority of pleas of guilty, yet these pleas are for less serious crimes than might ‘really’ have been committed. The statistics will reflect this downgrading of seriousness.
The Role of the Government
What is considered a crime changes over time, as governments change the law in response to cultural changes and the influence of powerful groups. Any exploration of crime over a period is difficult as any rise or fall in the levels of crime may just be reflecting changes in the law just as much as actual changes in crime.
Victim Surveys
A second way of estimating the extent and patterns of crime is that of victim surveys. In these, a sample of the population either locally or nationally is asked which offences have been committed against them over a certain period of time. Strengths of Victim Surveys This approach overcomes the fact that the police don’t record a significant proportion of offences. It also gives an excellent picture of the extent and patterns of victimisation – something completely missing from official accounts. The best-known victimisation study is the British Crime Survey, which is now collected every year and has been in operation since 1982. The BCS seeks to find a representative sample. It asks one person over 16 in 11,000 households: a) whether they had been victims of a crime in the previous year; b) whether they had reported this to the police; and c) whether the police had recorded them. The BCS revealed a staggering gap between the amount of crime committed and that finally recorded by the police.
The BCS has had a significant influence on policy in Britain. They show that crime is committed against quite specific groups of people- mainly young and male, in specific areas, mainly inner city and adjoining zones. They also show that the statistically ‘average’ person could expect a robbery every five years, a burglary once every 40 years and an assault once every century. However, there are problems with victim surveys such as the BCS.
Weaknesses of Victim Surveys
• The problem of basing statistics on victims’ memories is that recollections are often faulty or biased.
• The categorisation of what crimes have been committed against them is left to the person filling in the questionnaire – this leads to considerable inaccuracy in the categories.
• Victim surveys also omit a range of crimes such as fraud and corporate crime, and any crime where the victim is unaware of or unable to report a crime.
• Despite being anonymous, people appear to under-report sexual offences.
• The BCS itself suffers from the problem of not collecting information from those under 16 although this is not necessarily a problem of victim surveys as such.
The British Youth Lifestyles Survey (2000), for example, was carried out specifically to obtain detailed information on crimes against younger people. Local Victim Surveys The BCS is a typical cross-sectional survey, and as such may contain some errors – certainly it does not provide detailed information about particular places. This has led to a number of detailed studies of crime focusing on particular areas. These provide specific information about local problems. The most famous of these surveys were the Islington Crime Surveys (1986 and 1990). These showed that the BCS under-reported the higher levels of victimisation of ethnic minority groups, and domestic violence. The Islington Crime Survey – A case study National studies such as the BCS cannot concentrate on crime in specific areas. With this in mind a survey was conducted in London Borough of Islington, to assess the extent of crime and gain the publics evaluation of police performance. A random sample of 2,000 households were surveyed. The study showed a substantial impact of crime on the lives of people in the borough:
• A full third of all households had been touched by serious crime (for example, burglary, serious robbery or sexual assault) in the last twelve months.
• A quarter of all people always avoided going out after dark, specifically because of fear of crime • 28% felt unsafe in their own homes
• Over half of the women never or rarely went out after dark, because of their fear of crime.
• It is sometimes suggested that the public suffer from hysteria about crime particularly about mugging, sexual assault and violence. These worries are said to be out of touch with reality. However the Islington Survey (with its ability to focus in on the highly victimised) provides support for the fact that their fears are in fact justified.
• 46% of people in Islington admitted to worrying “a lot” about mugging, which is not surprising given that over 40 per cent of the borough’s population actually know someone (including themselves and their family), who has been mugged in the last twelve months.
• It was also found that it was not unrealistic to worry about burglary when its incidence in the borough runs at five times the national average.
• Women tend to be more fearful of crime than men, and many argue that this shouldn’t be the case as ‘official statistics’ show men to be more at risk. However the Islington survey shows that there it is women that are more likely to be victims. A possible reason for this may be down to the nature of the crimes committed against women and their reluctance to report it.
• Sexual assaults are almost exclusively committed by men on to women. So is domestic violence as well as street robbery.
• In terms of non-sexual assault alone, women in the borough are 40 per cent more likely to be attacked than men.
• Sexual assault in Islington is 14 times the national average
The Media and Sensitisation
Victim surveys are dependent upon people being aware that they are victims; it depends on the ‘victim’ perceiving what happens to them as being a crime. The media play a key role in this as they provide illustrations of ‘crimes’ and generally heighten sensitivity towards certain forms of behaviour. This is known as sensitising the public toward (certain types of) activity, which can be seen as a crime worth reporting. A positive example of this has been the change in portrayal of domestic violence from a ‘family matter’ to a criminal activity.
Self Report Studies
The third method for collecting data is that of self-report studies. These are surveys in which a selected group or cross-section of the population are asked what offences they have committed. Self-report studies are extremely useful as they reveal much about the offenders who are not caught or processed by the police. In particular it is possible to find out about these ‘hidden offenders’ ages, gender, social class and even their location. It is also the most useful way to find out about victimless crimes such as illegal drug use.
Weaknesses of Self Report Studies
• The problem of validity: the biggest problem is that respondents may lie or exaggerate – and even if they do not deliberately seek to mislead they may simply be mistaken.
The problem of representativeness: because it is easy to study them, most self-report surveys are on young people and students. There are no such surveys on professional criminals or drug traffickers for example.
• The problem of relevance: Because of the problem of representativeness, the majority of the crimes uncovered tend to be trivial Nevertheless, the only information which we have available to us of who offends, other than the official statistics of people who have been arrested, comes from self-report studies and they have been very widely used to explore such issues as crime and drug use.